Bitcoin (BTC): The Rise of Cryptocurrency in 2025

Bitcoin (BTC): The Rise of Cryptocurrency in 2025
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4. Derivatives Market Liquidity

Bitcoin has one of the most liquid derivatives markets in the world:

CME Group’s regulated futures and options on BTC average billions in daily notional volume.

Offshore venues such as Binance Futures, Deribit, and Bybit offer perpetual swaps, quarterly futures, and options.

Institutional liquidity is concentrated in Delta-neutral strategies, basis trading, and volatility arbitrage.

Derivatives drive a massive volume multiplier effect, often 5–10x greater than spot market turnover. As of early 2025, Bitcoin derivatives volume exceeds $75 billion daily, according to Coinglass.

Reference: https://www.coinglass.com/FuturesData

Derivatives analysis: https://www.theblock.co/data/crypto-markets/futures 

5. Decentralized Exchange (DEX) and Tokenized BTC Liquidity

Although Bitcoin is not natively tradable on DEXs due to lack of smart contract capabilities, tokenized BTC (e.g., WBTC, tBTC, sBTC) facilitates exposure on decentralized platforms like:

Uniswap, Curve, Balancer, SushiSwap, Thorchain

These wrapped BTC tokens represent collateralized 1:1 BTC assets on Ethereum and other smart contract platforms, expanding BTC liquidity into:

DeFi protocols,

AMM pools,

Cross-chain bridges,

Lending markets.

DeFi TVL for BTC: https://defillama.com/coins/wbtc 

Wrapped BTC issuer: https://wbtc.network 

6. OTC Market Depth and Block Trade Infrastructure

For large volume transactions (>$10M), institutional traders access OTC desks and block trade facilitators to avoid slippage.

Leading OTC liquidity providers include:

Galaxy Digital

Cumberland DRW

B2C2

Jump Crypto

Genesis Trading

XBTO

These firms offer:

Guaranteed execution pricing,

Pre-trade liquidity quotes,

Post-trade settlement and custodial services,

Algorithmic trade execution tools.

Institutional OTC volume is not publicly reported but estimated to exceed $500 million daily globally, per industry surveys.

Galaxy Prime Services: https://www.galaxy.com/services/trading/ 

B2C2 Liquidity Solutions: https://www.b2c2.com/ 

7. Liquidity on Layer 2: Lightning Network and Sidechains

Bitcoin’s Lightning Network provides high-speed microtransaction liquidity, even though it’s not a traditional trading venue.

Lightning metrics (Q1 2025):

~6,200 public nodes

~110,000 open channels

~5,800 BTC total liquidity capacity

Lightning usage extends to:

Streaming payments,

P2P commerce,

Micropayment APIs

Data source: https://1ml.com/statistics  | https://bitcoinvisuals.com/lightning 

Sidechains like Liquid (Blockstream) offer confidential trading and cross-venue liquidity for tokenized assets, securities, and BTC-backed assets.

Liquid Network: https://blockstream.com/liquid/

8. Market Maker Participation and Arbitrage Mechanisms

Bitcoin’s liquidity is sustained by a global network of algorithmic market makers who arbitrage pricing across venues and instruments:

Spot vs futures (basis arbitrage),

CEX vs DEX price spreads,

Fiat vs stablecoin pairs,

Geographic premium arbitrage (e.g., Korea, Turkey, Nigeria).

These activities ensure:

Narrow spreads,

Efficient price discovery,

Deep order book layering.

Leading market makers include:

Alameda (pre-bankruptcy), Wintermute, Flow Traders, Jump, GSR.

Crypto market making overview: https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2022/10/18/what-is-a-crypto-market-maker/ 

9. Liquidity Resilience During Volatility Events

Bitcoin’s liquidity architecture has proven resilient across multiple macro shocks:

COVID-19 crash (March 2020),

China mining ban (May 2021),

FTX collapse (Nov 2022),

Rate-hike cycles (2023–2024).

While altcoin liquidity dried up during these events, BTC markets maintained tradeability, exchange uptime, and institutional access points—underscoring its role as liquidity anchor in digital markets.

Volatility event impact report: https://www.theblock.co/data/crypto-markets/volatility-index

10. Summary: Bitcoin’s Liquidity as a Strategic Advantage

Bitcoin offers unmatched liquidity infrastructure:

Deep global exchange coverage,

Institutional-grade derivatives platforms,

High-capacity OTC markets,

Multi-chain tokenized liquidity integrations,

Real-time Layer 2 payment liquidity,

Professional market maker support.

This liquidity profile positions BTC not just as an investable asset—but as the foundational collateral layer of the digital economy.

Its exchange presence and market maturity are core reasons why institutional allocators prioritize BTC over any other crypto asset.

References

BTC Volume & Markets: https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/bitcoin  | https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/bitcoin/markets/ 

Exchange Listing Comparisons: https://www.coingecko.com/en/exchanges 

CME BTC Futures: https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/cryptocurrencies/bitcoin.html 

iShares BTC ETF: https://www.blackrock.com/us/individual/products/334010614/ishares-bitcoin-trust 

Fidelity BTC ETF: https://www.fidelity.com/etfs/bitcoin 

Coinglass Derivatives Data: https://www.coinglass.com/FuturesData 

DeFi TVL: https://defillama.com/coins/wbtc 

WBTC Info: https://wbtc.network 

Galaxy Trading: https://www.galaxy.com/services/trading/ 

B2C2: https://www.b2c2.com/ 

Lightning Stats: https://1ml.com/statistics  | https://bitcoinvisuals.com/lightning 

Liquid Network: https://blockstream.com/liquid/

Market Making Explainer: https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2022/10/18/what-is-a-crypto-market-maker/

Volatility Impact Report: https://www.theblock.co/data/crypto-markets/volatility-index

Next: Section 4H – Market Capitalization Context follows immediately.

Tokenomics & Economic Model – Bitcoin (BTC)

H. Market Capitalization Context ( words – Deep Institutional Analysis)

Market capitalization is one of the most commonly used indicators in financial markets to assess the scale and economic weight of an asset. In the context of Bitcoin (BTC), market capitalization not only measures relative value but also represents Bitcoin’s growing role as a monetary asset, its comparative position in global capital markets, and its standing among traditional asset classes and digital competitors.

In this section, we provide a detailed and institutional-grade examination of Bitcoin’s market capitalization: what it represents, how it evolves, where it sits in the global asset stack, how it compares to competing assets (crypto and non-crypto), and what its future trajectory implies for capital allocation decisions.

1. Defining Market Capitalization in Bitcoin’s Context

Bitcoin’s market capitalization is calculated using the standard formula:

> Market Cap = Current Price × Circulating Supply

As of Q1 2025:

Bitcoin’s price = ~$68,000 USD

Circulating supply = ~19.6 million BTC

Total Market Cap ≈ $1.33 trillion USD

Live market cap data:

https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/bitcoin 

https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/bitcoin/ 

Bitcoin’s market cap fluctuates with price but is capped in long-term supply terms due to its 21 million BTC hard limit. This makes it distinct from equities or fiat currencies whose supply can grow arbitrarily.

2. Bitcoin’s Market Cap Compared to Other Cryptocurrencies

Bitcoin has consistently retained the highest market capitalization in the digital asset ecosystem since inception.

As of March 2025:

BTC market cap: ~$1.33 trillion

ETH market cap: ~$370 billion

USDT market cap: ~$102 billion

BNB market cap: ~$60 billion

SOL, XRP, ADA: each below $50 billion

Market dominance metrics:

https://coinmarketcap.com/charts/

https://www.coingecko.com/en/global-charts

Bitcoin typically commands 45–55% of total crypto market capitalization, reinforcing its status as the base-layer monetary asset of the digital economy.

3. Bitcoin vs Traditional Asset Market Caps

Institutional investors increasingly view Bitcoin not merely as a crypto asset but as a contender in the global asset stack, comparable to gold, real estate, equities, and government bonds.

Comparative market capitalizations:

Gold: ~$13.4 trillion

US Equities (S&P 500): ~$43 trillion

Global Real Estate: ~$350 trillion

Global Bonds: ~$130 trillion

USD M2 Money Supply: ~$21 trillion

From this perspective, Bitcoin’s current ~$1.3 trillion market cap remains a fraction of major global asset classes, indicating significant headroom for capital inflow and valuation growth.

4. Market Cap Trajectory Over Time

Bitcoin’s market capitalization has exhibited exponential growth over a 15-year horizon, with growth punctuated by adoption cycles and halving events.

Milestone capitalization data:

2013: $1 billion

2017: $300 billion

2021: $1.2 trillion

2024 (ETF boost): $1.4 trillion peak

2025 (current): ~$1.3 trillion

This growth aligns with:

Institutional adoption phases,

Halving-triggered supply shocks,

Global fiat debasement cycles.

BTC halving correlation analysis: https://www.lookintobitcoin.com/charts/stock-to-flow-model/

5. Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) Context

Bitcoin’s FDV is a forward-looking valuation metric that represents maximum market capitalization at full 21 million supply:

> FDV = Current Price × 21,000,000 BTC

At $68,000 price:

FDV = $1.428 trillion

This metric matters for long-term allocation modeling, especially for institutional allocators building multi-decade theses. Since Bitcoin’s FDV grows only via price appreciation (supply is fixed), it provides a clear valuation corridor.

6. Market Cap vs Liquidity Cap

Some analysts prefer “liquidity-adjusted market cap”, which accounts for:

Active float (BTC not HODLed or lost),

Exchange balance availability,

OTC liquidity presence.

Adjusted market cap = Market cap × % actively circulating supply

(Current estimates: 13M–14M BTC actively circulating)

Adjusted MC ≈ ~$884 billion – $952 billion

Glassnode liquid supply data: https://glassnode.com/metrics/supply/supply-liquid

This model helps investors understand real market pressure zones and price elasticity thresholds.

7. Bitcoin Market Cap in Macro Portfolios

Bitcoin is increasingly modeled as part of:

Alternative asset sleeves (alongside gold, private equity),

Commodity baskets (digital commodities thesis),

FX hedging strategies (non-sovereign money thesis),

Monetary debasement hedges (anti-fiat correlation thesis).

Asset allocation literature:

ARK Big Ideas: https://ark-invest.com/big-ideas/bitcoin

Fidelity Digital Thesis: https://www.fidelitydigitalassets.com/bin-public/060_www_fidelity_com/documents/FDAS/bitcoin-first.pdf

Market cap serves as an anchor for sizing portfolio allocations. Funds typically assign 1%–5% exposure relative to cap-based diversification logic.

8. Market Cap Dominance as a Competitive Moat

Bitcoin’s dominance in market cap reinforces:

Superior liquidity,

Regulatory attention,

Security budget scale,

Developer ecosystem momentum,

Institutional trust premium.

These feedback loops create economic gravity, making Bitcoin the center of pricing in the digital asset space.

Similar to how USD dominates FX markets, BTC dominates crypto price correlation matrices and serves as the risk benchmark.

9. Psychological Thresholds and Capital Flow Triggers

Market cap also influences investor psychology:

$1 trillion is a threshold for “institutional legitimacy”

$5 trillion may trigger sovereign allocation rotations

$10 trillion+ brings parity with gold, creating monetary substitution narratives

Capital rotation from gold into BTC is a primary long-term catalyst, as BTC’s superior portability, verifiability, and liquidity are increasingly appreciated.

Galaxy Digital BTC vs Gold comparison

10. Summary: Bitcoin Market Cap as Monetary Indicator

Bitcoin’s market capitalization represents much more than price × supply—it encapsulates:

Adoption curve progress,

Monetary narrative strength,

Capital formation scale,

Liquidity credibility,

Institutional penetration.

It remains the clearest signal for Bitcoin’s role in global finance and a key benchmark for risk modeling, portfolio sizing, and valuation modeling.

References

Bitcoin Market Cap: https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/bitcoin

CoinMarketCap Charts: https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/bitcoin/

Global Market Cap Visualizations: https://www.visualcapitalist.com/all-of-the-worlds-money-and-markets-in-one-visualization-2023/

Stock-to-Flow: https://www.lookintobitcoin.com/charts/stock-to-flow-model/

Glassnode Liquid Supply: https://glassnode.com/metrics/supply/supply-liquid

ARK Big Ideas: https://ark-invest.com/big-ideas/bitcoin

Fidelity Bitcoin Thesis: https://www.fidelitydigitalassets.com/bin-public/060_www_fidelity_com/documents/FDAS/bitcoin-first.pdf

Galaxy BTC vs Gold: https://www.galaxydigital.io/insights/bitcoin-vs-gold/

Next: Section 4I – Project vs Other Token Models follows immediately.

Tokenomics & Economic Model – Bitcoin (BTC)

I. Project vs Other Token Models ( – Deep Institutional Analysis)

Bitcoin’s token model is a stark departure from the paradigms that dominate the broader crypto ecosystem. It is a non-inflationary, non-governance, non-staking, Proof-of-Work-based monetary asset, engineered for decentralization, neutrality, and monetary integrity—not feature-rich programmability or institutional manipulation. In this section, we will critically compare Bitcoin’s token model to the tokenomics models of other major projects, including Ethereum, Solana, Cardano, Avalanche, Polkadot, and others.

We will explore how Bitcoin’s simplicity becomes its strength, and how its architecture avoids many of the economic flaws seen in token-incentivized ecosystems, making it uniquely suitable for institutional capital deployment, sovereign reserve strategies, and monetary longevity.

1. Bitcoin: The Archetype of Fixed-Supply Monetary Assets

Bitcoin’s token model is fundamentally a hard-capped, deflationary issuance model, with:

Maximum supply of 21 million BTC,

Decentralized issuance via Proof-of-Work,

No pre-mines, no team allocations, no foundation treasury,

No staking or governance-based inflationary rewards.

Its token issuance schedule is immutable, auditable, and predictable, unlike discretionary token issuance in other protocols.

This makes Bitcoin a commodity-like monetary asset, more comparable to physical gold than to “application-layer tokens.”

2. Ethereum: Inflationary-Deflationary Hybrid with Dynamic Governance

Ethereum (ETH) represents a programmable smart contract platform rather than a pure monetary asset. Its token model includes:

No fixed supply cap, though EIP-1559 introduced deflationary pressure by burning base fees.

Staking-based yield model under Proof-of-Stake.

Validator incentives tied to participation and uptime.

Protocol-level governance by developer and validator consensus.

While ETH supply growth has slowed, the protocol’s monetary policy is changeable via governance proposals, unlike Bitcoin’s hard-coded schedule.

Ethereum’s supply chart post-EIP-1559: https://ultrasound.money/

Ethereum staking explainer: https://ethereum.org/en/staking/

Key Risk: Institutional allocators must consider mutable monetary policies and centralization of staking pools when evaluating ETH as a long-term asset.

3. Solana: High-Speed, High-Throughput, High Inflation

Solana (SOL) is a high-performance blockchain focused on speed and throughput. Its token model includes:

Initial supply of 500 million SOL, with ongoing inflationary issuance (~6.5% declining yearly).

Validator staking rewards and slashing mechanics.

Pre-mine allocations to foundation, team, and investors (~50% of initial supply).

Highly centralized validator architecture, which introduces security and censorship concerns.

Reference: https://solana.com/docs/token-economics/overview

Key Risk: Inflationary pressure + insider allocations create sell-side risk vectors, especially in adverse market cycles.

4. Cardano (ADA): Delegated Proof-of-Stake with Treasury Model

Cardano uses a delegated Proof-of-Stake (dPoS) model with:

45 billion ADA maximum supply (fixed cap),

Inflation-based staking rewards, gradually reducing as treasury-funded development kicks in,

On-chain governance model (Project Catalyst).

While Cardano shares some scarcity dynamics with Bitcoin, its economic model is highly reliant on active staking and community development treasury, which introduces complexities in modeling future supply/demand.

Tokenomics explainer: https://docs.cardano.org/learn/what-is-ada-token/

5. Avalanche (AVAX): Capped Supply with High Unlock Velocity

AVAX has a max supply of 720 million AVAX, with:

Staking-based yield model (~9–12%),

Validator-based PoS consensus (Snowball/Avalanche),

Significant token unlocks for foundation, early investors, and partners.

Unlock schedule: https://docs.avax.network/learn/platform-overview/token/#supply-allocation

Key Risk: AVAX’s unlock schedule has been a point of market volatility, with cliffs causing short-term sell pressure.

In contrast, Bitcoin has no unlocks, no cliff risks, and no early investor exit threats.

6. Polkadot (DOT): Inflationary Staking Ecosystem

DOT has:

No max supply (inflationary ~10% per annum),

Staking and governance integrated at protocol level,

Treasury allocations governed by community votes,

Slashing risks for validator downtime or misbehavior.

Staking guide: https://wiki.polkadot.network/docs/staking

This model introduces compounding centralization risks, and uncertain monetary policy modeling—absent in Bitcoin.

7. Comparisons to Stablecoins and Synthetic Tokens

Bitcoin’s monetary model also contrasts sharply with:

Stablecoins (USDT, USDC): Fiat-backed IOUs, custodial risks, de-pegging vulnerabilities.

Algorithmic stablecoins (DAI, UST): Prone to depegging, systemic collapse (e.g., Terra/LUNA crash).

Synthetic BTC (WBTC, tBTC): Custody-dependent wrapped assets for cross-chain functionality.

Risk: Synthetic and custodial assets lack Bitcoin’s trustless issuance and censorship resistance.

UST Collapse analysis: https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2022/05/13/luna-crash-why-it-happened/

8. Bitcoin’s Absence of Governance Token Mechanics

Most modern token models involve:

Token-weighted governance (DAOs),

Voting rights linked to token holdings,

Governance attacks (e.g., flash loan governance takeovers).

Bitcoin avoids this entirely—its governance is based on open-source code, node consensus, and BIP review processes, not token voting.

Bitcoin governance model: https://en.bitcoin.it/wiki/Bitcoin_Improvement_Proposals

This creates greater protocol ossification and monetary integrity, which is desirable for long-term institutional capital.

9. Implications for Institutional Asset Allocation

From a fiduciary standpoint, Bitcoin’s token model offers:

Predictable monetary policy,

No lockup/unlock risk,

No insider allocation dilution,

No inflation-based yield distortion,

No staking pool attack vectors,

No token-weighted protocol capture.

This makes Bitcoin the only token with commodity-like valuation metrics, allowing comparison to gold, oil, or treasury instruments—not speculative equity instruments.

10. Summary: Bitcoin’s Token Model as Institutional Benchmark

While other protocols innovate at the application and throughput layers, Bitcoin remains the economic base layer of digital assets.

Its tokenomics are:

Immutable,

Fairly distributed,

Incentivized through real-world cost,

Unmanipulated by treasury boards or inflation games,

Free from discretionary governance risks.

For institutional capital with multi-decade time horizons, Bitcoin’s model is not just the benchmark—it’s the standard for digital monetary credibility.

References

Bitcoin Supply Mechanics: https://en.bitcoin.it/wiki/Controlled_supply

Ethereum Tokenomics: https://ultrasound.money  | https://ethereum.org/en/staking/

Solana Economics: https://solana.com/docs/token-economics/overview

Cardano ADA Tokenomics: https://docs.cardano.org/learn/what-is-ada-token/

AVAX Supply & Unlocks: https://docs.avax.network/learn/platform-overview/token/#supply-allocation

Polkadot Staking Guide: https://wiki.polkadot.network/docs/staking

Wrapped BTC Info: https://wbtc.network  | https://tbtc.network

Terra/LUNA Collapse Review: https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2022/05/13/luna-crash-why-it-happened/

Bitcoin Improvement Proposals: https://en.bitcoin.it/wiki/Bitcoin_Improvement_Proposals

Next: Section 4J – Exchange Liquidity Risks follows immediately.

Tokenomics & Economic Model – Bitcoin (BTC)

J. Exchange Liquidity Risks ( – Deep Institutional Analysis)

While Bitcoin enjoys the deepest liquidity in the digital asset ecosystem, sophisticated investors must account for exchange-related liquidity risks that can impact price stability, trade execution, capital flows, and custodial integrity. Exchange liquidity risk refers not only to order book depth or trade volume, but also to structural weaknesses and failure points across centralized and decentralized platforms.

This section offers a comprehensive analysis of Bitcoin’s exchange liquidity risks, categorized into operational, systemic, geopolitical, custodial, and regulatory domains. These risks, though mitigated by Bitcoin’s global market footprint, require rigorous understanding from institutional allocators deploying capital at scale.

1. Centralized Exchange (CEX) Counterparty Risk

Despite Bitcoin’s decentralized nature, the majority of trading volume still flows through centralized exchanges (CEXs). These entities act as custodians, order routers, and clearing agents. However, they introduce significant counterparty risk for capital allocators.

Key risks include:

Exchange insolvency (e.g., FTX collapse): Loss of user funds due to internal mismanagement, fraud, or leverage mismatches.

Operational downtime: Technical outages during high volatility disrupt trade execution.

Withdrawal freezes or capital controls: Sudden restrictions on asset movement or liquidity access.

Notable collapses:

FTX (2022): ~$9B in user funds lost.

QuadrigaCX (2019): CEO death resulted in frozen wallets.

Mt. Gox (2014): First major BTC exchange failure.

These events underscore the necessity of minimizing custodial exposure and diversifying venue risk.

2. Liquidity Fragmentation Across Exchanges

Bitcoin’s trading liquidity is spread across hundreds of platforms, leading to fragmented order books and price inefficiencies. Even with arbitrage mechanisms, price differentials across:

CEXs,

OTC desks,

DEXs,

Institutional venues,

…can cause execution variance, especially during high-volume market moves.

This fragmentation introduces:

Slippage risk on large trades,

Execution lag across venues,

Hurdles for TWAP/VWAP strategies.

Liquidity fragmentation tracker: https://coinglass.com/LiquidationData

Arbitrage case studies: https://www.coindesk.com/learn/crypto-arbitrage-strategies/

3. Flash Crashes and Market Depth Anomalies

CEX order books can experience flash crashes—sudden price drops due to:

Thin liquidity,

Market manipulation,

Fat-finger trades,

Cascading liquidations.

Examples:

BTC flash crash to $8,000 on Binance US (2021).

May 2021: Broad crypto flash crash caused by cascading liquidations.

Implication: Shallow liquidity walls in volatile moments can distort price discovery and cause slippage for institutional block trades.

4. Market Maker Withdrawal Risk

During black swan events or regulatory action, market makers may pull liquidity, leading to:

Wider spreads,

Slower order matching,

Increased volatility.

Such scenarios reduce order book depth, even if nominal trading volume appears unchanged. Post-FTX, several market makers exited crypto markets temporarily, exacerbating volatility.

Market maker exit report

5. Custodial Risk at Exchange Level

Most exchanges provide hot wallet custody, which is more vulnerable to:

Hacks (e.g., BitMart, Coincheck, Bitfinex),

Insider fraud,

Software bugs.

Notable hacks:

Bitfinex (2016): $72M loss – https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2016/08/03/bitfinex-bitcoin-hack-largest-ever-by-theft-value/

Coincheck (2018): $530M NEM theft – https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-42845505

BitMart (2021): $196M hack – https://www.theverge.com/2021/12/5/22819454/bitmart-crypto-exchange-hack-ethereum-safemoon

Institutional capital increasingly demands segregated cold wallet custody through qualified custodians like:

Fidelity Digital Assets: https://www.fidelitydigitalassets.com

Anchorage: https://www.anchorage.com

BitGo: https://www.bitgo.com

6. Jurisdictional Risk and Regulatory Fragmentation

Exchanges are subject to the legal environments in which they operate. Regulatory shifts can impact:

On/off-ramp liquidity (fiat gateways),

Capital controls,

License revocations,

Compliance freezes.

Examples:

Binance banned in UK, Germany, Netherlands.

Coinbase delisting tokens after SEC scrutiny.

Indian exchanges facing tax and banking restrictions.

Regulatory tracker: https://www.cryptorating.org/crypto-regulations/

Institutional mitigations include multi-jurisdictional exchange accounts and regulated custody diversification.

Thank you for taking the time to read this article. We invite you to explore more content on our blog for additional insights and information.

https://www.thestandard.io/blog  

"If you have any comments, questions, or suggestions, please do not hesitate to reach out to us at [Email “Coming Soon”]. We appreciate your feedback and look forward to hearing from you."

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PAGE 15: www.thestandard.io/blog/bitcoin-btc-the-rise-of-cryptocurrency-in-2025-15

6 of the best crypto wallets out there

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