USD Coin (USDC): The Battle for Stablecoin Sovereignty in 2025

USD Coin (USDC): The Battle for Stablecoin Sovereignty in 2025
Chapter 11

BVNK Partnership

The partnership with BVNK focuses on integrating USDC into global payment services, allowing businesses to leverage its capabilities for various payment purposes, including global payroll and contractor payouts. This collaboration addresses the growing demand for efficient cross-border transactions by utilizing USDC’s speed and stability.

Conclusion

USDC's success is significantly bolstered by its partnerships with external organizations and financial institutions. These collaborations not only expand its use cases but also enhance its credibility in the financial ecosystem. As USDC continues to integrate into both traditional finance and digital asset markets, its role as a reliable stablecoin becomes increasingly vital.

References

Circle's Bold Steps: New Partnerships and Integrations - https://www.onesafe.io/blog/circle-strategic-moves-hashnote-usdc-integration

Circle and Binance Enter Into a Strategic Partnership - https://www.fintechfutures.com/techwire/circle-and-binance-enter-into-a-strategic-partnership-that-will-accelerate-global-usdc-and-crypto-adoption/

Circle and Binance Partner to Accelerate USDC Stablecoin Adoption - https://fintechnews.sg/105172/digitalassets/circle-binance-stablecoin/

BVNK and Circle Partner to Expand USDC Use for Global Payments - https://thepaypers.com/cryptocurrencies/bvnk-and-circle-partner-to-expand-usdc-use-for-global-payments--1270617

How the BVNK-Circle Partnership Will Expand USDC Utility - https://fintechmagazine.com/crypto/how-the-bvnk-circle-partnership-will-expand-usdc-utility

We're Partnering with Circle to Streamline Global Business Payments - https://bvnk.com/blog/partnership-circle-usdc

Circle Alliance Program | A Global Network of Partners - https://www.circle.com/alliance-program

Circle | USDC & Web3 Services for a New Financial System - https://www.circle.com

2. Regulatory Support:

Regulatory bodies in the U.S. and Europe have recognized the importance of stablecoins like USDC in promoting financial inclusion and economic efficiency. By adhering to anti-money laundering (AML) and know your customer (KYC) regulations, USDC positions itself as a compliant stablecoin trusted by financial institutions, regulators, and governments.

Example: USDC’s collaboration with U.S. regulators and its ability to maintain transparency through regular third-party audits reinforces its reputation as a reliable, transparent stablecoin.

3. Government and NGO Support:

In addition to financial and regulatory partnerships, USDC benefits from support by non-governmental organizations (NGOs) and industry associations that promote blockchain adoption. These organizations play a role in advocating for broader blockchain adoption, with USDC serving as a key player in global payment systems.

Example: The Digital Dollar Project, which is backed by former Federal Reserve officials, has highlighted the potential benefits of stablecoins like USDC for modernizing payments and remittances.

Sources:

https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2020/12/23/usdc-partnerships-with-crypto-institutions-help-fuel-its-rise/

https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2021/05/19/usdc-backed-by-cross-river-bank-extends-use-cases-in-defi/

E. Conclusion (Community and Ecosystem)

USDC’s community and ecosystem growth have been vital to its success as a stablecoin. The decentralized governance model, ongoing engagement with the developer community, strategic partnerships with financial institutions, and positive social sentiment position USDC for continued growth. As more projects and institutions adopt USDC across various blockchain ecosystems and traditional financial services, its network effects will continue to expand, increasing its relevance in the broader financial ecosystem.

Sources:

https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2021/03/01/usdc-stablecoin-becomes-top-asset-on-uniswap-defi-platform/

https://www.circle.com/en/about

10. Exit Strategy & Liquidity Considerations

  1. Token Unlock Schedule Recap: Understanding USDC's Liquidity and Market Stability

Understanding token unlock schedules is crucial for evaluating a cryptocurrency's liquidity and market stability. However, USDC operates differently from typical cryptocurrencies, as it does not have a traditional token unlock mechanism. Instead, USDC tokens are issued and redeemed on demand based on supply and demand dynamics.

Token Issuance and Redemption

USDC tokens are issued and redeemed dynamically without a predefined unlock schedule. For every USDC issued, Circle holds an equivalent amount of fiat reserves in custody. When users redeem USDC for fiat currency, the corresponding tokens are burned, maintaining the 1:1 peg to the U.S. dollar.

Example: Dynamic Supply Management

If demand for USDC increases, Circle issues more tokens and holds additional fiat reserves. Conversely, when demand drops, tokens are redeemed and burned, adjusting the supply of USDC in circulation. This dynamic management ensures that USDC remains stable and maintains its peg with the U.S. dollar.

  1. Market Impact of Issuance and Redemption

The continuous issuance and redemption of USDC tokens allow for real-time adjustments based on market conditions. While there is no traditional unlock schedule, large-scale changes in issuance or redemption can impact liquidity and influence market sentiment. This is particularly relevant if major exchanges or institutional investors significantly alter their USDC holdings.

Example: Impact on DeFi and Cross-Border Payments

In 2021, USDC saw a surge in issuance as the DeFi market expanded, increasing its market capitalization. A surge in redemption might indicate a cooling market, but the 1:1 peg ensures that USDC's value remains stable.

Conclusion

USDC's unique issuance and redemption mechanism, devoid of traditional token unlocks, allows it to maintain liquidity and stability. While large-scale changes in supply can influence market sentiment, the stablecoin's peg to the U.S. dollar ensures its value remains consistent.

References

USD Coin (USDC) Overview - https://www.circle.com/en/usdc

USDC Issuer Circle Sees Record Usage in DeFi and Cross-Border Payments - https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2021/12/10/usdc-issuer-circle-sees-record-usage-in-defi-and-cross-border-payments/

Understanding USDC Regulatory Compliance: What to Expect in 2024 - https://blockapps.net/blog/understanding-usdc-regulatory-compliance-what-to-expect-in-2024/

USDC Explained: Everything You Need to Know - https://www.muralpay.com/blog/usdc-explained-everything-you-need-to-know

Unpacking USDC: The Stablecoin Shaping Digital Finance - https://www.onesafe.io/blog/usdc-cryptocurrency-guide-benefits-future

USD Coin (USDC) | Digital dollars backed 1:1 with USD - https://www.circle.com/usdc

USD Coin - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/USD_Coin

USDC Terms - https://www.circle.com/legal/usdc-terms

B. Investor/Team Sell Behavior

The behavior of investors and the team in selling their holdings of USDC can have an impact on liquidity and market conditions. However, since USDC is a stablecoin and designed to maintain a 1:1 peg with the U.S. dollar, large sales or transactions generally do not affect its price. Instead, the liquidity and volume of USDC transactions influence the stability of the coin.

1. Investor Sell Behavior:

Whales and institutional investors that hold large amounts of USDC may occasionally liquidate their holdings or move them between exchanges. However, given USDC’s stability, large sales typically do not influence its price significantly. Instead, the primary impact is on liquidity levels on exchanges.

Example: If a major institutional player or whale decides to redeem a large amount of USDC for fiat, this could lead to a reduction in supply, but the price of USDC would remain unaffected due to its peg to the U.S. dollar.

2. Team and Founder Sales:

While USDC is primarily issued by Circle, it does not follow a typical equity-based model with a lock-up period for founders and early investors. Therefore, the team’s actions do not directly impact the token price in the same way as an equity investment would. The primary responsibility of Circle’s team is to maintain the integrity of the stablecoin’s backing and ensure full compliance with regulatory frameworks.

Example: Circle’s focus on maintaining the integrity of USDC’s peg to the U.S. dollar ensures that the team’s actions do not cause undue market fluctuations, even if large transactions are executed.

Sources:

https://www.circle.com/en/usdc

https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2021/05/04/usdc-issuer-circle-announces-new-regulation-for-stablecoins/

C. Secondary Market Liquidity

Liquidity in secondary markets refers to the ability to buy and sell USDC quickly and with minimal price slippage. Given USDC’s widespread adoption across major centralized exchanges (CEXs), decentralized exchanges (DEXs), and the DeFi ecosystem, its liquidity is relatively high. However, the stability and usability of USDC across different platforms are also critical for maintaining market confidence and ease of access.

1. Liquidity Across Exchanges:

USDC is listed on a wide variety of centralized exchanges (CEXs), including Coinbase, Binance, Kraken, and Gemini, which provides ample liquidity. Additionally, USDC is supported by decentralized exchanges (DEXs) such as Uniswap and SushiSwap, where users can trade it against a variety of other assets.

Example: The liquidity of USDC on CEXs is typically very high, meaning large transactions can be conducted without significant slippage. On DEXs, liquidity pools involving USDC also provide an additional layer of market depth, making it easy for users to convert USDC into other tokens.

2. Stable Liquidity in DeFi:

USDC has become one of the most popular stablecoins in the DeFi ecosystem, where it serves as collateral, liquidity, and a medium of exchange for decentralized applications. Its widespread use on platforms like Aave, MakerDAO, and Compound ensures that there is a consistent supply of USDC available in liquidity pools.

Example: The liquidity of USDC in Aave’s lending pools allows borrowers and lenders to transact seamlessly. USDC’s use in Uniswap pools ensures that it can be exchanged for a wide range of tokens quickly and with minimal fees.

Sources:

https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2021/07/19/usdc-defi-adoption-continues-to-rise-as-decentralized-finance-growth-surges/

https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2021/12/01/usdc-liquidity-jumps-ahead-of-massive-decentralized-finance-growth/

D. M&A Potential

USDC’s status as a widely adopted stablecoin makes it a prime candidate for mergers and acquisitions (M&A) in the crypto and fintech sectors. While Circle, the issuer of USDC, has established itself as a leading entity in the stablecoin space, its continued success and growing market presence could lead to potential acquisition offers from larger financial institutions or technology firms.

1. M&A Activity in the Stablecoin Sector:

Mergers and acquisitions are a common part of the financial technology space, particularly in the blockchain and stablecoin sectors. Larger firms might see USDC’s proven track record, large market cap, and regulatory compliance as attractive reasons to acquire Circle or its stablecoin operations.

Example: PayPal or Square could be potential acquirers of Circle if they decide to expand their digital currency offerings. An acquisition by a major player could lead to greater institutional adoption of USDC.

2. Impact on USDC’s Liquidity:

If USDC were to be acquired by a larger financial entity, it could lead to an increase in liquidity, as the acquiring company could integrate USDC into its existing financial infrastructure. This could include the use of USDC for cross-border payments, lending, or as a stable medium of exchange in digital asset portfolios.

Example: An acquisition by PayPal, for instance, could open up new use cases for USDC in digital payments, allowing PayPal users to hold and transact with USDC seamlessly within their wallets.

Sources:

https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2021/01/14/why-a-circle-acquisition-could-reshape-the-stablecoin-landscape/

https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2021/10/21/usdc-issuer-circle-considers-an-ipo-amid-increased-demand/

E. Long-Term Visibility and Exit Timing

Circle’s long-term strategy for liquidity and exit timing is closely tied to USDC’s continued adoption and integration into the broader financial ecosystem. USDC’s role in DeFi, cross-border payments, and institutional services positions it well for sustained demand, which could lead to a natural exit point for Circle’s investors.

1. Exit Strategy via IPO or Acquisition:

Circle has discussed the possibility of going public through an initial public offering (IPO), which would provide an exit opportunity for investors. An IPO would give Circle access to capital markets and could increase its visibility in the financial world, particularly among institutional investors.

Example: Circle’s discussions about an IPO could enable investors to capitalize on the company’s growth as the demand for USDC continues to rise.

2. Integration into Larger Financial Institutions:

If USDC becomes a core asset for a large financial institution, this could result in a strategic acquisition by that institution, potentially leading to liquidity events for existing investors. The future of USDC will likely involve deeper integration into traditional financial systems, potentially leading to exits via acquisitions or public listing.

Sources:

https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2021/10/21/usdc-issuer-circle-considers-an-ipo-amid-increased-demand/

https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2020/07/01/circle-considers-ipo-to-expand-its-infrastructure-for-usdc/

F. Lock-up Effects on Price and Strategy

Lock-up periods, commonly seen in equity investments, typically do not apply to stablecoins like USDC. However, the dynamics of large issuances and redemptions can have a similar impact on the liquidity and price stability of USDC.

1. Price Stability During Large Transactions:

Unlike equity tokens, USDC maintains a 1:1 peg to the U.S. dollar, meaning that its price remains constant, regardless of lock-up effects. However, large issuance or redemption events can temporarily influence the market liquidity of USDC.

Example: A large institutional redemption of USDC might temporarily reduce liquidity on exchanges, but it will not impact the price due to the stability of the coin.

2. Impact on Market Strategy:

USDC’s market strategy is designed to ensure liquidity and scalability. Circle’s focus on facilitating institutional transactions, providing liquidity services, and expanding use cases in DeFi ensures that USDC will continue to grow, regardless of any potential lock-up effects.

Sources:

https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2021/05/10/how-lock-up-periods-and-supply-schedules-affect-stablecoins/

https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2021/04/23/usdc-issuer-circle-predicts-high-demand-for-stablecoins-in-the-future/

G. Liquidity Considerations for Large Exits

When considering large exits, such as a major redemption of USDC, liquidity remains a critical consideration. As a stablecoin, USDC is designed to maintain liquidity, but large-scale redemptions or shifts in the market can temporarily impact liquidity on exchanges.

1. Liquidity Across Exchanges:

USDC is traded on major centralized exchanges and DeFi platforms, providing ample liquidity. However, in the event of a large institutional redemption or sale, liquidity can temporarily tighten, especially on decentralized exchanges where USDC is used as collateral in lending platforms.

Example: Large-scale redemption of USDC for fiat currency could lead to a temporary decrease in circulating supply, but the 1:1 peg ensures price stability.

Sources:

https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2020/11/20/usdc-issuer-circle-set-to-expand-cross-border-payments/

CLICK HERE TO CONTINUE

CHAPTER 12: www.thestandard.io/blog/usd-coin-usdc-the-battle-for-stablecoin-sovereignty-in-2025-12

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